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Cybercrime at Machine Speed: Key Takeaways from Flashpoint’s 2026 Midyear Threat Intelligence Briefing

Threat actors are no longer just using automation to execute tasks, they are leveraging prepackaged, safeguard-free AI, weaponizing stolen session data, and directly targeting defenders’ security stacks.

In our latest webinar, Flashpoint Vice President of Intelligence, Ian Gray, briefed security leaders on the evolving threat environment, providing critical insights from the Flashpoint Global Threat Intelligence Report (GTIR): 2026 Midyear Edition.

The threat landscape has developed at a striking pace with Flashpoint tracking over 22 million illicit AI discussions, 7.4 million compromised hosts yielding 1.7 billion stolen credentials, and over 21,600 disclosed vulnerabilities in just six months. Beyond these staggering numbers, the on-demand session detailed something even more alarming: a fundamental shift in adversary operational tradecraft.

Here are the five critical shifts every cyber threat intelligence (CTI), Vulnerability Management, and SOC team needs to know.

The Death of Signal: Threat Actors are Shifting to “Private AI”

The public discussion surrounding criminal artificial intelligence (AI) has reached a critical inflection point. Early in the AI boom, Flashpoint observed threat actors collaboratively experiment across underground forums, jailbreaking commercial frontier models or advertising surface-level tools like WormGPT and DarkGPT.

Today, adversaries are shifting from public forums to running fine-tuned, open-source models locally on private servers, which greatly hampers traditional signature-based detection. Flashpoint analysts are now seeing attackers generate unique, highly tailored malware variants, flawless phishing lures, and custom exploit scripts at extremely low costs—completely offline and shielded from public monitoring.

“A few months ago, a lot of this was collaborative… public outsourcing. Now what we’re seeing is scarier: pre-packaged cybercrime models run locally on private infrastructure. Malicious code, exploit scripts, and targeted phishing are all being generated inside closed environments.”

Ian Gray, VP of Intelligence, Flashpoint

Weaponizing the Defender’s Own Tooling

Another eye-opening tactical insight shared during the session was how threat actors are repurposing defender infrastructure for automated initial access and extortion. In the webinar, we pointed to recent campaigns where adversaries specifically targeted misconfigurations and zero-day vulnerabilities inside open-source vulnerability scanners, secrets-detection tools, Kubernetes clusters, and Infrastructure-as-Code(IaC) environments.

What this means for defenders is that the attack surface is no longer bounded by traditional enterprise network boundaries: it extends directly into CI/CD pipelines, security orchestration tooling, and third-party SaaS integrations. Security teams are finding themselves in a race against attackers who use automated scanning scripts to weaponize vulnerabilities in the security tools themselves.

The Global Infostealer Threat and Identity-First Attacks

Flashpoint tracked 7.4 million hosts compromised by infostealers in H1 2026—a 27% increase period-over-period—harvesting 1.7 billion credentials and identity information.

While the top infostealer strains remain familiar, law enforcement operations have created vacuums that competitors rapidly fill.

Threat actors are leveraging drive-by downloads, watering holes, and pirated software packages to plant stealers. Once a machine is compromised, the logs capture corporate SSO credentials, active browser cookies, VPN keys, and SaaS session tokens. This enables adversaries to simply log in without having to leverage complex technical exploits.

The Structural Failure of CVE/NVD and the Importance of KEV

The Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) and National Vulnerability Database (NVD) have failed to keep pace with the velocity of AI-assisted vulnerability discovery. As such, vulnerability management teams are facing significant operational delays.

Metric	Flashpoint GTIR Midyear H1 2026 Data	Operational Impact
Total Disclosures	21,667	Remediation volume exceeds defender bandwidth.
Exploit Availability	19% (4,015 CVEs)	Functional code is ready before patches are deployed.
Public Catalog Lag	Growing Backlog (NVD/KEV)	Delay in official scoring leaves teams blind to active risk.

Therefore, waiting for NVD enrichment before prioritizing a patch is a dangerous strategy. To compensate, security teams require Vulnerability Intelligence (VI) that provides primary-source confirmation of weaponization, exploit availability, and actionable mitigation guidance long before public databases update.

Ransomware Evolution: From Encryption to Cloud Extortion

Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) activity surged by 45% period-over-period, reaching 6,256 verified victim postings on data leak sites. However, total on-chain payout revenue dropped by 8% to $820 million, with victim pay-rates hitting a record low of 28%.

Faced with declining payouts and resilient enterprise backups, extortion syndicates are adapting. Rather than relying exclusively on technical file-encrypting malware, groups are executing pure data extortion campaigns—frequently targeting cloud platforms or extracting data through third-party vendor access.

Protect Your Organization Using Flashpoint

Defending against machine-speed attacks requires moving beyond reactive, post-incident telemetry. Flashpoint arms security, CTI, and vulnerability management teams with the primary-source intelligence required to preempt adversary operations:

• Unrivaled Deep & Dark Web Visibility: Flashpoint’s Primary Source Collection actively monitors closed criminal communities, illicit Telegram channels, and private forums, giving you early warning when threat actors build custom AI toolkits or trade credentials targeting your organization.
• Comprehensive Vulnerability Intelligence (VI): Flashpoint tracks zero-days and vulnerability disclosures independently, delivering immediate exploit availability data and threat-informed prioritization so you patch what actually matters.
• Continuous Compromised Credential Monitoring: Instantly surface exposed enterprise credentials, active session tokens, and stealer logs tied to your domain or third-party supply chain before they lead to an account takeover (ATO).

Request a demo, or watch the full on-demand webinar to explore the data shaping today’s risk landscape.

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Navigating AI-Driven Cyber Threats: Insights from Flashpoint’s 2026 GTIR Midyear Edition

In this post, we preview the critical findings of Flashpoint’s Global Threat Intelligence Report: 2026 Midyear Edition.

In the first half of 2026, the global threat landscape reached a clear operational inflection point: threat operations have fundamentally transitioned from human-led campaigns to machine-speed, AI-driven exploitation. As threat actors gain commoditized access to open-source AI technologies and actively deploy automated, safeguard-free tooling locally on private infrastructure, organizations face an accelerating hybrid risk environment.

Flashpoint’s Global Threat Intelligence Report: 2026 Midyear Edition

The Flashpoint Global Threat Intelligence Report: 2026 Midyear Edition anchors security leaders—from threat intelligence, vulnerability management, to executive leadership—in the data required to navigate this evolving threat landscape. Covering the period from January 1 to June 30, 2026, the report delivers timely insights backed by Flashpoint’s proprietary primary-source collection from over 3.9 petabytes of continuously monitored illicit sources.

Our midyear findings reveal several key metrics that highlight the speed and scale of the H1 2026 threat landscape:

• 22M+ threat actor posts discussed, shared, or advertised artificial intelligence toolkits for criminal deployment.
• 1.7B credentials and identity data points extracted across more than 7.4M unique compromised hosts globally.
• Nearly one-in-five (19%) of all vulnerability disclosures dropped with ready-made, functional exploit code.
• 45% period-over-period surge in Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS), with total victim volume reaching 6,256 even as victim payout rates dropped to a historic low of 28%.

Download the Flashpoint Global Threat Intelligence Report: 2026 Midyear Edition to gain:

1. A Clear Understanding of the Convergence Between AI and Cyber Threats
   From generating flawless phishing campaigns to automating vulnerability scanning and code obfuscation, discover how adversaries are optimizing for speed and cost-efficiency — utilizing AI as a force multiplier in their various illicit campaigns.
2. A Comprehensive Top-Down View of the Evolving Threat Landscape
   Gain full visibility of the threat landscape with Flashpoint’s primary-source collections and real-time threat intelligence.
3. Strategies for Proactive Defense and Risk Mitigation
   Move your organization beyond reactive incident response by leveraging Flashpoint’s comprehensive threat intelligence. Gain the foresight needed to strengthen defenses and optimize your security posture.

“AI is compressing the time between opportunity and exploitation. Capabilities that once took significant expertise, coordination, and time to develop are becoming faster to build, easier to scale, and harder to detect. Security teams are facing an adversary ecosystem that can use AI to iterate at unprecedented speed — the only way to keep pace is with primary-source intelligence that surfaces adversary behavior before attacks unfold.”

Josh Lefkowitz, Flashpoint Co-Founder & CEO

The Four Driving Themes Shaping the 2026 Threat Landscape

Artificial Intelligence (AI) Threats

During the first half of 2026, Flashpoint captured over 22M illicit posts discussing or advertising AI for criminal-related activities. By stripping ethical safeguards, custom malicious LLMs allow unsophisticated threat actors to automate complex phases of the attack lifecycle, including target profiling, malware evasion script creation, and zero-day exploit generation.

Information-Stealing Malware Threats

Infostealer malware harvested 1.7 billion credentials across 7.4 million compromised systems in H1 2026 alone, turning digital identity into the main entry point for enterprise intrusions.

Vulnerability Intelligence and Patching Management

19% (4,015) of all H1 2026 vulnerability disclosures arrived with ready-made exploit code. Adversaries deploy automated replication scripts almost immediately upon disclosure, eliminating manual remediation windows.

Ransomware Operations, Multi-Extortion Cartels, and Financial Risk

Despite a 45% surge in victim volume (6,256 overall), total on-chain revenue fell by 8% to $820M. Improved enterprise backups and incident response have driven payout rates down to 28%, prompting syndicates to demand larger sums from paying victims.

Proactive Security in 2026 and Beyond

The data shows that traditional enterprise security organizations are struggling to keep pace with modern threat cycles that are accelerated by illicit uses of AI. This continued convergence of AI engines and initial access vectors have further compressed attack timelines, making it nearly impossible for security teams to defend against them—especially if they are limited by traditional approaches to threat intelligence.

Equipping your team with primary-source threat intelligence is critical for protecting critical assets in 2026. Download the Flashpoint Global Threat Intelligence Report: 2026 Midyear Edition to gain the visibility and strategic clarity required to defend your organization.

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Flashpoint EASM: Industry-Leading Vulnerability Intelligence, Mapped to Your Internet-Facing Assets

Catch exposures before threat actors do. Here is how Flashpoint’s new module works and the top questions answered from our live demo.

Security teams don’t lose ground because they lack tools. They lose ground because they can’t see everything an attacker can.

This is the challenge we addressed in our latest Demo Day webinar introducing Flashpoint External Attack Surface Management (EASM), a new module inside our Ignite platform that gives security teams a continuous, attacker’s-eye view of their external attack surface, mapped directly to our proprietary vulnerability intelligence.

The Problem: Too Much Noise, Not Enough Context

Most security teams are dealing with three compounding problems:

1. Disconnected Data: Vulnerability data lives isolated from actual infrastructure. Knowing a CVE exists doesn’t tell you whether it affects your active environment.
2. Alert Fatigue: CVSS-only prioritization treats every “critical” score as an emergency, even when an asset isn’t internet-facing or exploitable.
3. Accelerated Threat Cycles: AI is speeding up how quickly threat actors discover and exploit vulnerabilities, making manual tracking impossible.

Layer on top of that the reality that most teams still track their perimeter with spreadsheets or a static CMDB, and you get a widening gap between what security teams think they own and what is actually exposed. This gap has a name: shadow IT.

Shadow IT Is a Growing Blind Spot

Shadow IT covers the domains, subdomains, and cloud instances that get spun up to get work done, without IT’s knowledge or approval. It’s not a fringe issue. According to Gartner, by next year, 75% of employees will be acquiring, modifying, or creating technology outside their IT department’s visibility, up from 41% just a few years ago.

These unmanaged assets sit outside inventory and outside the reach of any scanner that only looks at what’s already known. That makes them exactly the kind of infrastructure an attacker finds first, and exactly the blind spot Flashpoint EASM is built to close.

What is Flashpoint EASM?

Flashpoint EASM gives security teams a continuous, attacker’s-eye view of their external attack surface and maps that view directly to Flashpoint’s vulnerability intelligence. Instead of your team asking “are we affected by this?”, every time a new vulnerability is disclosed, EASM answers that question continuously, often before the answer is obvious anywhere else.

Flashpoint EASM is built on three capabilities that work together:

Continuous Asset Discovery

Flashpoint EASM continuously discovers and monitors internet-facing assets: domains, subdomains, and IPs. New discoveries flow into a dedicated triage inbox, so security teams can quickly accept and focus on what’s actually relevant instead of drowning in noise.

Vulnerability Mapping

Every discovered exposure is mapped to Flashpoint’s proprietary vulnerability intelligence, including our pre-NVD findings, KEV (Known Exploited Vulnerabilities) status, ransomware likelihood, and exploit maturity. This provides organizations with immediate context into the vulnerabilities that pose the most risk.

Customizable Alerting

Using EASM, security teams get alerted to the exact moment a new asset or vulnerability is detected. This alert is fully customizable by severity and is available inside one unified workflow via Flashpoint Ignite.

Discover, map, and alert. This loop gives organizations an intelligence-led view of their perimeter, so they can proactively outpace threat actors instead of being forced to react.

How Flashpoint EASM Works

In our live demo, Flashpoint walked through the EASM workflow, which can be found under “Assets and Identifiers” in the Ignite Platform.

Here’s how it works:

Step 1: Submit Seed Keywords

Onboarding starts with keywords, meaning domain and IP address assets your organization actually owns. Any already set up asset is automatically surfaced in Flashpoint Ignite—such as through our compromised credential monitoring—ensuring no duplicated setup work.

Step 2: Triage Discovered Assets

Once keywords are approved, EASM iterates on them to surface additional related infrastructure, domains and IPs alike, along with a discovery graph showing exactly how each asset was found. That traceability makes it easy to judge relevance at a glance.

Every discovered asset lands in one of three statuses:

• Owned: Assets in your tech stack. EASM continues discovering related infrastructure from these and links vulnerabilities to them.
• External: Assets relevant to you, but where you don’t need further discovery, just vulnerability linkage.
• Discarded: Assets you don’t need, removed from the triage feed entirely.

Step 3: Review the Vulnerable Assets Overview

In the main dashboard, the Vulnerable Assets page, security professionals can view total asset count, number of exposures, unique vulnerabilities affecting them, and total potentially vulnerable assets—in addition to criticality breakdowns for both domains and IPs.

From there, security teams can drill into:

1. Unique vulnerabilities, filterable by CVE or severity
2. Domains with vulnerabilities, showing exposure counts by severity and the last exposure date
3. Individual asset detail pages, showing products, versions, vendors, and ports, with vulnerabilities linked directly to the specific product version affected

Diving deeper into a surfaced vulnerability provides technical descriptions, solution information, and other affected products. Additionally, Flashpoint’s vulnerability database includes over 105,000 pre-NVD vulnerabilities, giving vulnerability management teams actionable indicators well before they show up in public sources.

Step 4: Set Up Alerting

Flashpoint EASM gives teams full control over signal versus noise. Whether that means getting notified the moment a critical vulnerability is disclosed, or reviewing a daily summary of your own schedule, EASM offers two alert types:

• Asset discovery alerts, either per-asset or as a daily rollup
• Vulnerability alerts, filterable by criticality (critical, high, medium, low), with the option for in-app only or in-app plus email, and available as a daily rollup

Why Flashpoint EASM Matters

1. Flashpoint EASM isn’t just another scanning tool. The intelligence underneath it is the differentiator: discovery tells you what’s out there, Flashpoint provides the much-needed context to tell you what’s dangerous right now.
2. The intelligence includes coverage that can’t readily be found elsewhere: Flashpoint’s independently researched data includes pre-NVD findings, improved KEV coverage, ransomware risk scoring, and exploit maturity.
3. It closes a blind spot teams have quietly lived with: EASM closes shadow IT gaps and surfaces assets sitting outside inventory entirely.

Flashpoint External Attack Surface Management gives security teams a continuous, intelligence-led view of everything a threat actor sees, so organizations can find and fix exposures before they’re exploited. To see it in action in a personalized walkthrough of your own environment, reach out to schedule a demo.

EASM Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs): What Security Teams Want to Know

What makes Flashpoint EASM different from other EASM solutions?

Most EASM tools stop at raw discovery, telling you an asset exists without telling you whether it matters. Flashpoint EASM pairs continuous asset discovery with a triage inbox to cut noise, then maps every asset directly to Flashpoint’s proprietary vulnerability intelligence, all natively inside Ignite alongside CTI and Vulnerability Intelligence. That combination means prioritization is based on real attacker activity, not just an asset inventory, giving remediation teams the exact context they need to proactively address risk.

What makes Flashpoint’s vulnerability intelligence unique?

Flashpoint’s database covers 400,000+ vulnerabilities, including 105,000+ not found in NVD or CVE, often surfaced up to two weeks earlier than public sources. Every entry is enriched with threat-informed context like EPSS scores, ransomware likelihood, exploit maturity, and MITRE ATT&CK mapping, then reviewed by human analysts, not just automated feeds. The result is prioritization based on real-world exploitation risk rather than CVSS alone.

Can existing monitored assets be imported into Flashpoint EASM?
Yes. EASM integrates closely with Flashpoint’s existing assets module, so assets already set up (for example, for compromised credential monitoring) surface automatically during onboarding.

Is there a limit on discovered assets, beyond the 30-keyword cap?
No. The 30-keyword limit only applies to initial seed keywords, to keep that starting set relevant. Once assets are marked owned or external, there’s no cap on ongoing discovery.

How does continuous polling compare to traditional scanning?
Traditional scanners give you a point-in-time snapshot. EASM continuously discovers assets and vulnerabilities, giving you a moving view of your exposure, essentially the same view an attacker would have in real time.

Does EASM identify compound risk, where multiple weaknesses increase exploitability together?
The Vulnerable Assets view surfaces how many vulnerabilities are tied to a given asset, so teams can quickly spot assets carrying disproportionate risk and prioritize accordingly.

Does EASM overlap with SBOM alerting?
Not exactly. SBOM alerting monitors vulnerabilities in assets you already know about. EASM is focused on discovering the assets you don’t know about yet. Most mature security programs benefit from running both in tandem.

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